jueves, 18 de febrero de 2016

WE HAVE CREATED A “SYSTEMIC CRISIS” IN A GLOBALIZED WORLD

The truth is that, although it seems him, this new article is not continuation of the previous published today but nevertheless if it treats him unfortunately on the same topic because I refer to the situation of the world economy again. It counted them that you confirm the bad economic perspectives that we will drop above like an enormous flagstone that will impede the reactivation of the already dares to denominate “systemic crisis” that we are installing in our economic politicians, in our industries manufacturers, extractive, or of infrastructures. 
And I dare to give him the range of “systemic crisis” because I fear myself that we have installed the crisis philosophy in all our systems of government's administration and of production. This circumstance converts it in systemic because it is already part in the way of thinking of acting and of living off governments companies and citizens and if this is not changed and express can take us to revive not wanted scenarios and already lived in the century 20.  
My diagnosis that I repeat it an and another time lately is that the economy that has served from guide to the advance of the world and of the humanity it already is not good completely for the world globalized of the century 21 on the empiricist test it is what is happening as it advances the century the economy he goes being more inefficient and the general wealth (not that of the few multimillionaires) every time is smaller or every time it satisfies in smaller way the necessities of the society. I believe that what has been good up to now is no longer it in a world globalized like the one that we have now 
He gives the impression that until arriving until here the economy was (and it is still it) it standardizes with its mathematical formulas, its statistics, its comparisons, and its analyses of the because these forecasts were not completed, this last that has always been reason some joke to justify that the economy was not in fact an exact science as the mathematics, although one works a lot with the numbers. 
But I believe that it has been this point against the pejorative sense of the sentence what has made that the economy was modeling the failures of its theories, because when analyzing the failure of an economic plan of a business or of a country he memorized that in another moment or place when arrives the moment to apply it he should make in a different way but today it no longer happens this way because it is that the globalization makes that all the economic phenomena that happen in the world are more or less the same one, this makes that you doesn't evolve him not to be changed them to repeat the same market strategies or of costs, of bank organization, of credit, etc., and as a result the economic world you has collapsed. 
I believe that it is necessary to change economic theory, that is to say if up to now the economic science was more or less uniform and the world was the disparate and unequal in its configuration macro and economic micro and of production, now this has given a turn of 180 grades and it is the world the uniform the globalized therefore I believe that it is necessary to change the factors to alter the product: if the world is now more uniform the application of the economic science should be that is to say the opposite it is necessary configure a world economically speaking full with basic differences that you give it globalize, again this doesn't mean us to return to a world divided in two the first rich world and the other poor. 
I believe sincerely that my theory is the one that should implant if we want that it returns the competitiveness and the happiness and that the current world doesn't stagnate and the flagstone of which spoke before squashes us to all, the test that we are in the mistaken road it is the own bad forecasts that make the specialists of the whole world:  The OECD tossed today a pitcher of cold water about any hope of a turnaround in the global economic growth for this year, clipping its forecasts for United States, Europe and Brazil and urging the world leaders to act collectively to strengthen the demand. 
The organism with headquarters in Paris, a group been founded by rich countries, reduced its forecast of world growth from 2016 to 3,0 percent in its from 3,3 percent that foresaw in November. That would mean that the world growth this year it would not surpass that of 2015 that in turn had the slowest rhythm in the last five years. The trade, the investment and the salary growth continued being very weak, the OECD says, urging the leaders of the world to that you/they activate all the springs to stimulate the growth urgently. 
The monetary politics cannot work by itself, he said. A stronger collective answer is needed to reinforce the demand, he added, requesting to the countries that have capacity of fiscal expansion that they elevate the public investment in projects of infrastructures, but this one cannot request this way, almost please any country no investor will make the things for charity for that it created a foundation without spirit of lucre that above helped him to reduce his fiscal costs and to alleviate his soul. It is necessary to change the models it is necessary to look for quickly new things that to take place and to create rather to be social with the help of distributing the taxes and it stops that it is necessary that the companies win more and it doesn't hurt them to pay taxes because this should be the source of their growth and their benefit and the other way around I don't eat now it happens. 
Because they are no longer the rich ones those that are outside of the problem of the economic stagnation the United States and Germany they suffered the biggest cuttings among the developed economies, with a reduction in the forecast of the OECD of half percentage point this year for both to 2,0 percent and 1,3 percent, respectively. The organism waits that the growth of USA and the area euro your slowdown from the previous year, at the 1,4 for the area euro, and that then they ascend marginally in 2017 at the 2,2 and 1,7 percent, respectively. 
In the area euro the positive effect of a smaller price of the petroleum in the activity has not already been smaller to that waited, but me he would say that harmful for the whole global economy because it has destabilized it there is an effect that seems that we have forgotten and it is that that that to some it favors to other it harms and it is it that commonly "all that is said that ascends low." 
And we cannot stick to alone in the material things it also happens the same thing with the society the most flagrant case we have it in the effects of the wars in the Islamic world that they are already rebounding in the whole world. The Greek minister of Migrations Yannis Mouzalas has said to close the frontiers in the Balkans it would unchain "a great humanitarian" crisis in its country and it would not stop the flow of immigrants it is logical some countries that with great difficulty tried to flourish they can collapse in the misery if they should accommodate at hundreds of thousands more than inhabitants.  
The minister told to the German economic newspaper Handelsblatt that the only way to brake the refugees is to put an end to the civil war of Syria. He said that the European Union needed to work in it and also to confront the humanitarian crises in Lebanon, Jordan and Turkey, I agree completely, this it is the only way in which we can overcome the crisis. The closing of frontiers didn't help, it is we already see that this weekend they will be the bosses of state of the UE discussing if they can grant enough improvements and guarantees to the United Kingdom so that the UE doesn't abandon and the main reef is the enormous immigration that the Great Britain in fact suffers because it would unbalance it.  
Macedonia has lifted two metal barriers with concertinas in the main points in passing for the immigrants along the frontier with Greece. to seal the frontiers of the Balkans, it would cause a great humanitarian crisis in Greece. Hungary, Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia oppose you deeply to any system of quotas and they want harder controls in the frontiers of the Balkan countries that surround Greece if the intent of reducing the traffic between Turkey and Greece fails. 
The modest economic recovery of the area euro has progressed but the risks are in increase and they also exist signs that the low prices of the energy could move to the values of other goods and services, he said on Thursday the European Central Bank (BCE)., the new threats for the expansion, mainly coming from the emergent markets, they continue steaming up the panorama of the monetary block, the BCE said in the records of its encounter of revision of types of January. The first floor salary growth suggests that the impact of "second beat" of the smallest prices in the petroleum could already be being materialized. Although the BCE left the types without changes in January, he promised to revise and possibly to recalibrate its politicians March 10, a declaration that was understood by the markets as a sign that it is very probable a monetary relief. 
I don't believe that this gets ready putting more money in circulation but putting it directly in projects in industries in infrastructures so that the industry bills it distributes benefits the investors and that these they reinvest them and the wages ascend and at least 20% that is what I calculate that of stocking they have gotten lost in Europe and revive this way the consumption that is the base so that the economy is reactivated and let us don't have to read things like that the group of foods Nestlé waits some prices and a weaker expansion in 2016, at the time that announced an organic growth for the whole exercise of 4,2 percent, far below the expectations of the market. 

The same as their rivals, Nestlé has had to make in front of a slower growth and more demanding consumers in the emergent markets, in particular China, while the sales in India Maggi has been shrunk by the retreat of its noodles. What said before the globalization until the noodles come they lose temper?  The net gain of the group with headquarters in Vevey fell to 9.100 million Swiss francs (9.190 million dollars), in disagree the presage average obtained in a poll of Reuters of 9.980 million francs. And dear readers if Nestlé suffers the jolts of this systemic crisis that we have placed ourselves it is that the things in the world go very bad.    

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