miércoles, 29 de abril de 2015

THE GLOBALIZATION GOES GIVING THE TURN TO THE WORLD AND EUROPE AND RUSSIA WE ARE OUTSIDE



I have always said that the globalization is the wrong of our time I would compare it partly with the Machine of Vapor or even with the Dynamite both products changed the world that is to say there for the ends of the XVIII century the first one and in the IXX the second, although in a different way and in different time, they brought to the western society the industrialization and the development toward the modernity, in fact they changed the world completely opening the way to an acceleration that if we look back it is enormous the technological advances from their respective appearances accelerate changing everything in a part for well and in another for bad but it is evident that it should be this way. 

Well the globalization is the machine of vapor and the dynamite meetings and at the same time, in one century so single occident changes the factories entirely, the highways, the railroad, the extraction of petroleum, they are impossible to imagine without the intervention of both discoveries and its application. Well the globalization didn't make another thing that to pass over all that gotten in a part from the world to the other one the problem has been as raisin in all the evolutions first they are slow, later they are productive for who they direct them and finally they are saturated and I eat now they become a problem instead of a solution.  

The globalization converted China in 'the factory of the world', fundamentally, for the low production costs that he offered and to the contribution of the technology that the western rich world transmitted him to make non-Chinese business but occident. Thanks to it during enough time (but this time it no longer arrives neither to one century). The companies have been able to enlarge their margins of benefit thanks to the cheap thing that it left them to manufacture in the plants of this country and to sell these expensive products in their rich world. But the situation is already changing. The Chinese workers begin to obtain an improvement of salaries and conditions of life that it is taking to the companies to look for that differential again in the manpower they go another time to change place the globalization. 

The bad thing now is that we are already more to globalizer we will no longer take out now profit of it the Westerners the movement globalized he will make without leaving Asia, this transverse of work load will move toward places with smaller labor costs and here they enter in scene Vietnam, Cambodia, Myanmar or Laos, with a high base of young population and a middle class not as strong as China. The experts already come a "transformation" in the region that is part of the development of the Association of Nations of the Asian Southeast (ANSA) as "third pillar" of the growth, after the emergence of China and the India.  

In their analysis, they identify as winning factor the conjunction of three specific characteristics of the region. On one hand, the already the workers' mentioned low cost in countries like Myanmar, Cambodia and Laos. For other, the highly efficient factories of Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia and Philippines. And, lastly, the segment of more sophisticated producers in Singapore and Malaysia. To this he sinks the measure that he will go into effect at the end of this year to unify the market of the area ANSA. The ten countries that form it (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam) they will allow from December of 2015 the free circulation of goods, services, capital and work among the states member that add more than 600 million inhabitants.  

And arrived to this point I always return to my reasoning that we will make the alone Europeans we are 340 million we are saturated of everything and we will no longer be able to go to sell Asia inside little because they happened to us for before their products to the step that we go will end up or working for them or serving them as waiters footballers and even as immigrants as cheap manpower. Where is our future? it is this the one that I have just drawn we don't have other we are hypothetically in the center of the world on one hand we have it lauds USA to the south Africa to the east Asia, China, the India that we have left to stay like we are and to wait that they subsidize us buying us our debt and all our history so that at the same time we can be their final sad consumers the cradle of the western civilization doesn't find it. 

As the economists of the Bank estimate ANZ, of here at 2030 the change toward these countries on the part of the foreign multinationals and also of the own Chinese companies it will be complete. We "believe that they will remove China their throne of 'factory of the world' in the next ones ten or fifteen years, as the companies move to take advantage of the cheap and abundant manpower in areas like that of the Great Mekong (southeast of Asia) ", they explain in an analysis picked up by Bloomberg. 

Because this it is the time that we have left to make the great Europe of which I always write that is to say the union of interests and of politicians between the UE and the Russian republic is not another exit because Russia doesn't neither have another exit when Chinese collapses the expansion of her economy toward the Asian southeast he was not him more than to conquer the big steppes and wealth of Russia and certainly Russia won't be able to oppose any resistance they are single 140 millions of Russian, however if we were able to make them to see and to believe that they are more European than Asian, we could create one strong Europe it authenticates with more than 500 million inhabitants, with some autochthonous natural resources with an advanced technology and it would be this way the only way to balance the first and political economic world blocks later  

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