Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Futuro político. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Futuro político. Mostrar todas las entradas

viernes, 5 de febrero de 2016

SPAIN WANTS TO GO VERY QUICKLY WHEN HE COMES OF SO BEHIND

The leader of We Can, Pablo Iglesias, still left today more complicated the road toward to hypothetical investiture of Pedro Sánchez when affirming that it will not even begin a negotiation to form Government with him if it also maintains conversations with Citizens, an ultimatum that was rejected by the socialist leader. We won't work so that there is a Government with the rights", he said Iglesias in a press wheel after meeting with the socialist leader. "An agreement with Citizens would be an agreement with the Popular Party in having differed", he affirmed. 
It is so evident this that you cannot discuss neither to negotiate Pedro Sánchez should choose certainly for that he has the king's command of trying to form government, but the election I fear myself that he/she doesn't go that is to focus it because it seems and I say alone it seems that he wants to play at the same time to two bands and that won't be able to be strategically Pedro Sánchez he makes a mistake if it continues for this way, according to my approach he should choose a political tendency first and then to form to their surroundings the trip partners and that doesn't have it defined I believe that Sánchez says what says what wants sure now it is the poltroon of president from Spain but he doesn't still know that Spain and this it is his error. 
Sánchez should understand that if he wants to be the president from a Spain of right absolute he should close a first agreement with Rivera of C's and then go to look for the possibility to possibly have the enough votes in the reasonable congress of the own PP, but in any case it accompanied him We Can. This alternative if it arrives he is born ahead of time unsuccessful because Sánchez will be prisoner of the right that never Citizens are not since nothing else that an appendix of the PP. 
It is not easy the situation and this should know it Pedro Sánchez, but I believe that in the first prances to find an on the way to negotiation makes a mistake if he doesn't go in search of a Spain of left, that is to say socialist. For it should arrive it first to an agreement principle with that is to say We Can unite the second and the third force of the hemicycle both they add 159 benches once confirmed this is to play with adding more than the 163 that can add the parties of right and this possibility is easier than it can get it helped for We Can because the small parties some because they are already of tendencies of left or because they are nationalist they won't support to the current right that has arrived loaded with corruption and of bitterness to these elections. 
This situation would give the presidency to Pedro Sánchez without doubting it and I frankly don't understand that problem sees him who deceives him because the support of We Can it will be together this first legislature quite loyal because We Can he is making its road and he/she needs to govern like be for of here four years to try to give the final lunge but if he gives it the he will never give to the right to the left said the PSOE otherwise he has the survival assured in government's positions during several legislatures if now he leans to lean on with We Can that without a doubt some and while they don't change the tendencies it is the political party of future. 
A We Can in the government it is a guarantee of social calm, because We Can dominate the restlessness and the hardships that they still have left us to the Spaniards to happen because it will continue maintaining the revolutionary spirit that so much fears the Spanish right and the European, but this so undoubtedly Pablo Iglesias he knows that he has to go at least by companion's situation once I am for sure it will maintain it and non-anger to annul the PSOE and he won't make it until it can rotate the omelet but even so the composition of a hypothetical future coalition in 2020 serious of the same political parties, maybe with the order of changed range, that is to say We Can of list head and government's indispensable partner's PSOE
But this has to decide it Pedro Sánchez I repeat once again that is to say according to their political approach first he has to choose if he wants to preside over a socialist Spain of left or he wants to be a president from a Spain of right in that the one will be a marionette in hands of the PP and of Citizens. And I will dare to give another possible justification to choose to We Can as second of I approach it is easier than Citizens and Rivera they abandon their commitments if there are them with the PP and accept to join to form a coalition with the left that not that he makes it We Can because Iglesias know that it is the next future unless it changes 180 grades the European economy and the whole society has work and arrive well in order to month and this won't spend in next ten years. 
And on the other hand Citizens are a party that has come out without knowing very well because first because it is Catalan and there had never been a Catalan party that they pay him attention in Spain and second because they have lifted up it the economic forces that they have seen the PP months ago he collapsed and they have tried to not bolster the politics of the right to the PP this seems that nobody has it clear but it is this way and Rivera that is not of trusting for their false convictions what is not, is a fool and if it has arrived up to where it has arrived it is easier than it takes advantage of it being gone up to the winning car that not that it is thrown with a wounded monster of death like it will be the PP if Pedro Sánchez president from Spain is invested. 

Now what they cannot make non-Pedro neither Pablo is to run more than the bill this has to be digested and to try to look forward because this legislature is without a doubt the principle of the traffic from a Spain of 19 century to a Spain of the century 21 and this tells everything my friends you don't run so much we come of very behind it is not possible to assume this change in one week you are to the door of making history, you don't close it for the hurries you think of tomorrow but also in the day after tomorrow.  

martes, 15 de diciembre de 2015

SPAIN IS TO ANALYZE VERY WELL WHO WILL CATCH THE HELM IN 2016



You know that the Government's President, Mariano Rajoy, and the whole PP has trusted its possibilities to continue governing Spain to its great action for the economic recovery. Awaiting the verdict of the Spaniards the 20-D, the international organisms have not given him the blessing that looked for. After the touch of attention of the European Commission, the IMF suggests that the current economic improvement largely owes herself to the favorable external conditions that crawl to some figures of the Spanish macroeconomics but that it doesn't end up activating it at general level. 

The rhythm of the reformations has been braked a lot in the second half of the legislature. So much so that the IMF considers to Spain like country example where the political scenario becomes a "risk" for the loss of interest to continue with the adjustments. I would say that partly they are right, but the problem is that they judge this fact as abnormal when the Spaniards know that it is always same the governments from Spain start up with force their legislatures, but alone to destroy and to change that he made the predecessor once gotten the government that governs doesn't know very well that to make and he stops or he gets lost in unconscious actions. 

The high officials of the bottom are the so much of the last surveys in Spain. For that reason, they look with certain concern the ecosystem pre electoral, since they fear that the urns can bring a Government with difficulties to continue with the sheer path of the reformations. The same sources underline that they don't want to be "too negative" with Spain, due to the visible improvement that it has gotten in the last period, with a growth among the highest in Europe and an unemployment that it falls. 

The institution predicted in the month of July that the Spanish economy would be the one that more growth would register this year among the advanced countries, with 3,1%. however, although the IMF indicates that some reformations have been able to bring benefits, the high representatives point to that the recovery has ridden mainly on the measures of the BCE (mainly the purchase of funds), the fall of the types of interest and the cheap petroleum. 

The influence of these external factors is so significant in the case of the Spanish economy that they wonder from the bottom if in a different environment our country could have gotten similar or at least similar registrations. Among the recommendations that it included the bottom last summer to reduce the high unemployment level in Spain, one of their main concerns, the reduction of taxes is included for the recruiting of people fewer qualified, to improve the active politicians of employment and the placement services, or the call to the moderation salaried in the companies, I would say that alone this last one has been made and it is more, it has been made by obligation because there is no way to lift the consumption and the productivity and the alone companies have as resource reducing wages to maintain some costs that every time is more difficult of covering. 

The doubts of the bottom on the true magnitude of the Spanish adjustment already outside sink to the warnings that it takes giving the European Commission to Madrid in these last weeks, with occasion of their verdict on the Spanish budget for 2016, their report on the macroeconomic indicators or the last revision after the rescue to the financial sector. Brussels and Washington point to the same root: Spain has not carried out the enough structural effort in the adjustments and reformations, what has still been reflected in "An indebtedness that doesn't stop of ascending, an unemployment in levels stratospheric and a cluster of macroeconomic and structural imbalances that illustrate the long journey that the Spanish economy has left to clean up, beyond the figure of current growth at the end . 

The Spanish case exemplifies the exhaustion reformer that the IMF also detects in other European partners, and that it is one of the main risks that detects for the UE in the horizon. This is as certain as when they point out that the first years of Spanish recovery were not more than the inertia of the world economy that I crawl to the economy of the UE and with her to the Spaniard. For the same reason now when every time is already more undoubtedly the UE it doesn't start up that has been taken down of the influential economic markets in today's world, (Asia pacifies, China and the USA) all the European economies especially the des industrializes like Spain Greece and Portugal are falling to the well of the crisis another time. 

ESPAÑA HAY QUE ANALIZAR MUY BIEN QUIEN COGERÁ EL TIMÓN EN 2016



Ustedes saben que el Presidente del Gobierno, Mariano Rajoy, y todo el PP han confiado sus posibilidades de seguir gobernando España a su gran acción para la recuperación económica. A la espera del veredicto de los españoles el 20-D, los organismos internacionales no le han dado la bendición que buscaba. Tras el toque de atención de la Comisión Europea, el FMI sugiere que la mejora económica actual se debe en gran parte a las condiciones externas favorables, que arrastran a algunas cifras de la macroeconomía española pero que no llega a activarla a nivel general.

El ritmo de las reformas se ha frenado mucho en la segunda mitad de la legislatura. Tanto es así que el FMI considera a España como ejemplo de país donde el escenario político se convierte en un "riesgo" por la pérdida de interés por continuar con los ajustes. Yo diría que en parte tienen razón, pero el problema es que juzgan este hecho como anormal cuando los españoles sabemos que es siempre igual los gobiernos de España arrancan con fuerza sus legislaturas, pero solo para destruir y cambiar lo que hizo el antecesor una vez conseguido el gobierno que gobierna no sabe muy bien que hacer y se para o se pierde en acciones sin sentido.

Los altos funcionarios del fondo están al tanto de las últimas encuestas en España. Por eso miran con cierta preocupación el ecosistema preelectoral, ya que temen que las urnas puedan traer un Gobierno con dificultades para continuar con la empinada senda de las reformas. Las mismas fuentes subrayan que no quieren ser "demasiado negativas" con España, debido a la visible mejora que ha conseguido en el último periodo, con un crecimiento entre los más altos de Europa y un desempleo que decrece.

La institución predijo en el mes de julio que la economía española sería la que más crecimiento registraría este año entre los países avanzados, con un 3,1%. Sin embargo, aunque el FMI indica que algunas reformas han podido traer beneficios, los altos representantes apuntan a que la recuperación ha cabalgado principalmente sobre las medidas del BCE (sobre todo la compra de bonos), la caída de los tipos de interés y el petróleo barato.

La influencia de estos factores externos es tan significativa en el caso de la economía española que desde el fondo se preguntan si en un entorno diferente nuestro país podría haber conseguido registros similares o al menos semejantes. Entre las recomendaciones que incluyó el fondo el pasado verano para reducir el alto nivel de desempleo en España, una de sus principales preocupaciones, se incluye la reducción de impuestos para la contratación de las personas menos cualificadas, mejorar las políticas activas de empleo y los servicios de colocación, o la llamada a la moderación salariar en las empresas, yo diría que solo se ha hecho esta última y es más, se ha hecho por obligación porque no hay manera de levantar el consumo y la productividad y las empresas solo tienen como recurso el reducir salarios para mantener unos costes que cada vez son más difíciles de cubrir.

Las dudas del fondo sobre la verdadera magnitud del ajuste español se suman a los avisos que lleva dando la Comisión Europea a Madrid en estas últimas semanas, ya fuera con ocasión de su veredicto sobre el presupuesto español para 2016, su informe sobre los indicadores macroeconómicos o la última revisión tras el rescate al sector financiero. Bruselas y Washington apuntan a la misma raíz: España no ha realizado el suficiente esfuerzo estructural en los ajustes y reformas, lo que al final se ha reflejado en “Un endeudamiento que no para de subir, un desempleo aún en niveles estratosféricos y un racimo de desequilibrios macroeconómicos y estructurales, que ilustran el largo recorrido que le queda a la economía española para sanearse, más allá de la cifra de crecimiento actual”.

El caso español ejemplifica el agotamiento reformador que el FMI también detecta en otros socios europeos, y que es uno de los principales riesgos que detecta para la UE en el horizonte. Esto es tan cierto como cuando señalan que los primeros años de recuperación española no fueron más que la inercia de la economía mundial que arrastro a la economía de la UE y con ella a la española. Por la misma razón ahora cuando ya cada vez es más claro que la UE no arranca, que se ha quedado descolgada de los mercados económicos influyentes en el mundo de hoy, (Asia pacifico, China y los EEUU) todas las economías europeas especialmente las desindustrializadas como España Grecia y Portugal se están cayendo al pozo de la crisis otra vez.

domingo, 27 de septiembre de 2015

THAT IT CAN START THE CATALAN ELECTIONS TO LEAVE OF TODAY



If today's holiday turns out to be finally of the voting’s, the day of the independence because they win a majority of the votes and the benches the political independent, the Catalan president, Artur Mas, he has sworn to take to a transition government that the process would begin of creating an independent state, with a command to declare the independence like later the 2017. Along 18 months, the new government would be guided by the steps profiled in the coalition of the “junts pèl IF”. According to the electoral program, the first thing would be a declaration that would be made in few days of forming the Catalan Parlament, beginning this way the process to proclaim the independence of Spain, and to create this way a new country in Europe.   

Catalonia was placed with the voting’s in an incredible moment for the democracy. Some regional elections transformed into a referendum to know with which intensity the society, wants the independence of Catalonia, this could push Spain and the UE. toward some unknown political waters    

Catalonia is for that reason aware of it, Mas he said that its priority would be to sit down with Madrid and the European institutions to speak and to negotiate and to reach the maximum agreements that lead to the creation of a new sovereign country but non enemy. The focus of the negotiations will be directed to regulate the problems that will arise without a doubt some, as the shared address of frontiers, the energy regulation and that of the water of the river Ebro among others.   

If Madrid refuses to any negotiation with Catalonia, Mas he said that Catalonia could ignore of its proportion of the public debt of Spain that could end up assuming until 19% according to experts. The new Catalan government also plans to begin editing a constitution for Catalonia, having the participation of experts and of organizations of the own Catalan civil society 

The creation of state structures will also begin. A diplomatic service and a central bank should be I list on time for the proclamation of a new Catalan state. "We have some structures right now", Artur Mas said during the campaign, while pointing to the public service of sanity of the region, the education and the service of public order. "But we lack others." The plans for the first of these new state structures, he is a model of collection of the regional tax that is inspired by those of Sweden and Australia.  

The reaction contrary of the government from Spain will be clearly immediate will be based on denouncing all the Catalan initiatives based on the non-legality with the Spanish constitution of the 1978. Mariano Rajoy, already announcement that, from Madrid we will use the power of the magistracy to block any movement toward the Catalan independence. We will go to the constitutional court. And that is the way to stop the Catalan process, pass what passes in today's elections.   

But the efforts of Madrid to close the one on the way to Catalonia to the independence could be alone a dream of the centralist government from Madrid. Junts pel YES, it has profiled in their program that, if Madrid wants to block the independence, if this winner leaves for majority in the elections, the Catalan government and her parliament could arrive to the proclamation of independence in an unilateral way, to break the obstinacy of Madrid and to accelerate this way the process of the real segregation of Catalonia and Spain.   

QUE PUEDE PONER EN MARCHA LAS ELECCIONES CATALANAS A PARTIR DE HOY



Si el día de fiesta de hoy resulta ser al fin de las votaciones, el día de la independencia porque ganan una mayoría de los votos y los escaños los políticos independentistas, el presidente catalán, Artur Mas, ha jurado llevar a un gobierno de transición que empezaría el proceso de crear un estado independiente, con un mandato para declarar la independencia como más tarde el 2017. A lo largo de 18 meses, el nuevo gobierno se guiaría por los pasos perfilados en la coalición del  junts pèl SI. Según el programa electoral, lo primero sería una declaración, que se haría dentro de pocos días de formar el Parlament Catalán , iniciándose así el proceso para proclamar la independencia de España , y crear así un nuevo país en Europa. 

Cataluña se colocara con las votaciones en un momento increíble para la democracia. Unas elecciones regionales convertidas en un referéndum para conocer con que intensidad la sociedad, quiere la independencia de Catalunya, esto podría empujar a España y a la  EU hacia unas aguas políticas desconocidas  

Catalunya es consciente de ello por eso, Mas dijo que su prioridad sería sentarse con Madrid y las instituciones europeas hablar y negociar y alcanzar los máximos acuerdos que conduzcan a la creación de un nuevo país soberano pero no enemigo. El enfoque de las negociaciones estará dirigido a regular los problemas que surgirán sin duda alguna, como la dirección de fronteras compartido, la regulación energética y la del agua del rio  Ebro entre otras. 

Si Madrid se niega a cualquier negociación con Catalunya, Mas dijo que Cataluña podría desentenderse de su proporción de la deuda pública de España, que según expertos podría llegar a asumir hasta el 19%. El nuevo gobierno Catalán también planea empezar redactando una constitución para Cataluña, contando con la participación de expertos y de organizaciones de la propia sociedad civil catalana

La creación de estructuras estatales también empezará. Un servicio diplomático y un banco central deben estar listo a tiempo para la proclamación de un nuevo estado catalán. "Nosotros tenemos algunas estructuras ahora mismo", dijo Artur Mas durante la campaña, mientras apuntando al servicio de sanidad público de la región, la educación y el servicio de orden público. "Pero nos faltan otros." Los planes para la primera de estas nuevas estructuras estatales, es un modelo de recaudación de los impuesto regionales que se inspira en los de Suecia y Australia.

La reacción contraria del gobierno de España será claramente inmediato su escenificación se basará en denunciar todas las iniciativas catalanas en base a la no legalidad con la constitución española del 1978. Mariano Rajoy, ya anuncio que, desde Madrid usaremos el poder de la magistratura para bloquear cualquier movimiento hacia la independencia catalana. Nosotros iremos a la corte constitucional. Y ésa es la manera para detener el proceso catalán, pase lo que pase en las elecciones de hoy. 

Pero los esfuerzos de Madrid por cerrar el camino de Cataluña a la independencia podría ser solo un sueño del gobierno centralista de Madrid. Junt pel SI, ha perfilado en su programa que, si Madrid quiere bloquear la independencia, si esta sale vencedora por mayoría en las elecciones, el gobierno catalán y su parlamento podría llegar a la proclamación de independencia de forma unilateral, para romper la obstinación  de Madrid y acelerar así el proceso de la segregación real de Catalunya y España . 

lunes, 14 de septiembre de 2015

CATALONIA, BETTER DOESN'T WORRY ABOUT THE EUROPEAN UNION, HE WILL COMMIT SUICIDE



The era of two decades of free circulation for Europe was off on Monday when some countries imposed controls on their frontiers in answer to a flow of immigrants without precedents. I don't find serious the act in yes but what represents this fact it is evident that Europe with all that wants to represent is unable to defend of anything they enslave her with the economic crisis that doesn't cause, he has to pay the consequences from the sanctions to Russia for not knowing how to help Ukraine and to finish with the conflict that generated in a new war of the Balkans and now he has to pay and to pick up the disaster of next east that neither has organized it but rather they have managed it Russia and the USA selling weapons that is to say to all alive bug to the good ones and the bad ones and then vice versa. 

The decision surprise of Germany of restoring the border controls on Sunday had a quick effect it dominated, forcing the neighbors to close its own frontiers while hundreds of refugees pressed the limits of the north and the west of the whole continent. Austria deployed to its army to watch over its frontier with Hungary after immigrants' thousands crossed the frontier on foot during the night, filling temporary lodging spaces in campaign stores and parking’s of stations of trains. "If Germany carries out border controls, Austria should start, the vice-chancellor, Reinhold Mitterlehner said, in a wheel of combined press with the chancellor Werner Faymann. "Now we are making that". Both said that he would spread to the army in support works. 

I don't taste like you but me all this he not reminds me something very distant and that of continuing it didn't take this way in returning and remind what I predict them, single lack Poland, Check Republic, and Slovakia, and we already have mounted the fourth Reich and don't worry about the Führer the same Merkel it serves us. Days ago weeks that I come publishing that this cannot stop and also that it is not normal neither the avalanche neither the form of acting of the immigrants neither what they explain to us these marches is coordinated and financed it is impossible that you can mobilize to so much people thousands and thousands without a plan and a cost I repeat it a people that escapes from the war again where it has lost everything he doesn't have 3000 Eurus for head to pay their displacements between other reasons because the euro it is not their currency then somebody it facilitates them to him so silly we are that we don't see it. 

The measures are the biggest threat to the system of Schengen that eliminated the border controls in all Europe from 1955 and it is located next to the unique currency as one of the achievements integration transformers in the continent. The 26 European countries of the area Schengen has common Visa and the frontiers among them they are not watched over. The frontiers for those that he fought during centuries and that they strangled only some years ago to the traffic and the trade, they are now marked with little more than some signs in the freeways of the biggest economic block in the world. But this is already about to jump made pieces although the norms still forbidden to undocumented immigrants to travel inside the area, the very prepared mission "invasion of it hurts" it he leaves few mechanisms to stop it. 

That has caused the chaos while hundreds of people's thousands, included refugees of the war in Next East, they arrive to the frontiers of the south and of the east of the block and they go to richer and welcoming countries to the north and the west in asylum search. This is a story for god love it is that they don't come it because they want to simply go to the rich countries of Europe because they are those that it is necessary to ruin they are those that when they see the atrocity that they are come above, they will be the first ones in taking out the police and the army to the street. I have already repeated it many times if one escapes fearing if life doesn't go choosing somewhere around where to go, everything is organized and very prepared. 

The European minister of Interior were sustaining conversations before the crisis, in those that Germany, France and the Commission - the Executive of the block - they tried to overcome the opposition of the states of the east to relocate 160.000 refugees arrived in Italy, Hungary and Greece. Poland said that it was prepared to impose controls if the immigrants arrived to its frontier in great number, and that any decision of the UE of imposing quotas to the states members to accept refugees without its agreement would take to an institutional crisis. 

It is that it is a mere question of numbers and accounting how much does it cost to mobilize 160.000 refugees mobilized in little more than one month is to feed them we have not done in the reports to anybody with symptoms of malnutrition and all more or less very dresses have said it and I repeat it if these 160,000 refugees value them in 1/3 women 1/3 children and old men, and the rest young men, we have a possible one I exercise of more than 50,000 soldiers if this mass instead of being taken out it of above in Syria they are returned in against it is that it would not be already Syrian army in foot of war it is that clear they make the numbers that they want but please dry off them you cry that they cloud them the eyes and look at the reality. 

Well after Schengen he will fall the Euro it cannot be otherwise, if they close the frontiers another time, it will be necessary to also control the merchandises and the capitals, not alone people think that if we give for good the figures of refugees given by the press 160,000 alone that have strained us 1% of terrorists (that for sure there are many more) we are speaking of 1600 traveling bombs that today per today is impossible to control. The insecurity that all this generates will make impossible no sketch of economic reactivation supposes that they won't tell it to us but the investments in Europe will fall in dive and everything together will make that each country worries another alone time about itself and good-bye European Union.   

jueves, 27 de agosto de 2015

RAJOY LEFT BEHIND OF YOU THE RUIN OF SPAIN, BUT NOT THE CRISIS



The Government's president, Mariano Rajoy, admits that it is "still a long road to travel before we can say with satisfaction that the crisis has been behind". Not Mr. Rajoy is you very mistaken, we don't leave the crisis behind, what we are leaving behind is an entire form of life, don't try to deceive us more, and if it is that you don't still see it, you are not deceived more, you have changed the solutions for problems, they have changed the form of life of the society, and you already can the politicians to make all the macro numbers and the comparative statistics that they want the reality it is what I tell them, you all in general, they have destroyed an economy and a form of life and they have opened the way to another that nobody knows how when and where it will finish. 

You Mr. Rajoy, seeks an and another time to make a review of the economic achievements of its command and it assures that "a structural" change is taking place in the work market, in spite of recognizing that they are "many work positions to create". they are Mr. Rajoy, more than two millions to arrive to the index of unemployment of the Spain 1980 (12%). he Gives fear to read this truth, but it is the reality, Spain after a later dictatorship to a civil war, I end up having a half unemployment of 12%, today bending it are almost, and the only truth is that Spain will never be able to fix this reality the unemployment index in such Spain and like they are taking it you didn't get off 20%. 

And I will tell him because, we have increased the demography and however we have not increased the industrial, and not alone capacity that, you have killed to the middle class, that social class that we tolerated with our effort and our taxes (much lower that now) to all Spain; Spain don't already made a mistake never well anger because it lacks this social step, because the rich ones continue being the same ones, but the capacity of maintaining its wealth it has decreased when decreasing the capacity of the society to consume and for that reason they will make business outside of Spain and the one that doesn't make it, dies for production lack or of revenues says it like want. 

And not alone it is the economic question, it is that the middle class was good to connect the hard-working class with the managerial class (that not rich), of the middle class the small companies came out the small business, those structures that used between three and 15 employees, of this social and productive step many came out toward above, they became the medium companies those of among 50 to 150 employees. And let us don't say of the figure of the autonomous one, in many cases the first embryo of that managerial structure of the Spain of the XX century that Spain that you blind in the face of the possibility of being what you/they are not, bolted it with the real estate bubble. 

You (and now I don't speak of the PP but of the politicians in general), they didn't know how to gauge the reality, they didn't know how to maintain it, they rushed blind of ambition after the abundant Eurus that Europe put them in the hand and without any control, they undid the whole managerial fabric of which I have spoken to them and they changed it for the easy business, for the one of making civil work and houses, without counting if the one was profitable and necessary the other one without seeing that there were not so many Spaniards to consume all that alone they had friends' that to fill with commissions swindles grafts etc. pockets, that formula produced fatty benefits to a privileged scale of the Spanish society, the banks grew, the real estate ones grew, the mortgages grew, the credits grew, until for logic you arrived at the end, neither the constructions were profitable neither there were more inhabitants to absorb the thousands and thousands of housings of all built type. 

Then it left to glitter the lack of economic study, the little or null social and managerial demographic education of the politicians and Spanish governments, and we are now country full with ruins to pay and expensive of maintaining, and with some impossible debts, and what is worse, without that small industrial fabric but with the feet in the floor that had stayed. Today you Mr. Rajoy one of the data that offers is that "today we already have more autonomous affiliated to the Social security that at the beginning of the legislature", and it assures that the three million workers self-employed are "a great strength of Spain" and a horn! they are three millions of stopped short term and self-employed, or it is that they have not analyzed them, me if I have made it, certainly not the three millions don't have means, but those that if I know they are practically autonomous that don't arrive to a salary of a thousand Eurus, of course they are not all the three millions but Mr. Rajoy they are most more than 80%.  

The things don't go to his favor Mr. Rajoy, you taking advantage of the crisis has changed the Spanish social structure and it is no longer again like it was, because neither there is capacity on the part of you neither there is her on the part of the country, for that reason they leave them the governability problems, they leave them the populist parties according to you, those located to the ends, those that didn't exist up to now in a word, because the social structures were and they felt sure, one worked, you grew and there was future, this is sad but it was gotten with a dictatorship, that hard, and now it is that with your democracy of shit, they have thrown everything for the overboard. 

domingo, 9 de agosto de 2015

IT'S NECESSARY TO GET READY TO BE ABLE TO WIN TWO RESULTS DEPUTIES AND VOTES


The elections of September 27, summoned last Monday for the president of the Generalitat, Artur Mas, they are not objectively a plebiscite about the independence, another thing is that the result of the same ones can take like an approach to such a political-artificial figure. A plebiscite is that is to say a voting of dual character alone it admits two answers YES or NOT reason why he understands each other that the question proposed to plebiscite is only and these characteristics are not given in this convocation that one votes to clever and political parties.

The question is that, as they pass the days and the debate on this question he goes winning relevance in the pre campaign, the use of the word "plebiscite" goes being substituted among its partisans by a subtler version to define the sense of the elections. They will have, they affirm, "character plebiscitary" and this if it is possible because the results of the voting’s can give a relevance to oneself project inscribed in several lists to vote taking it out of the group of general proposals this common project then it adds the entirety of the votes that has had from the different voted lists in fact.

The reading plebiscitary of the 27S will depend mainly, of what happens the day 28, the following day. And of the political decisions that take then. In definitive, the result of the elections maybe is not as outstanding as it can be the reading of the verdict of the urns in the later days. The problem then will be planted, in how these results will be read by the politicians this it is the incognito one, the politicians will know how to take out of their proposals the topic proposed in common or they stayed in the results of the political scrutiny and if I win I is already well and I won't sacrifice for others.

This is the risk to that we expose ourselves when not being able to outline the true question in a direct way, but it is also true that this same risk the parties and the Spanish unionists run him when not having wanted to facilitate the possibility of the plebiscite or of the referendum that he came to be the same thing in this case. At the end the option taken by Artur Mas he has a certain advantage on what the government from Spain denied us and it is that he has many more reading forms like for example with what measure units, where the limit is between the success or the failure of the yes or the no.

How and they legitimate the urns the political process announced after an eventual victory of the lists of the where yes. In this point, to tell the truth, everything is quite confused. It will be very difficult that the two tendencies accept the results if this he gives the victory on the contrary if they win the inclined lists to the YES, the lists of the they didn't look for all kinds of arguments to disqualify the arguments that the winners will propose that if the number that if the percentage that if they are votes or if they are deputies’, and this will happen equally in the case that was the lists of the NO or rather of the "no yes"

The character plebiscitary that is wanted to print to the elections is the result of the political unviability of the use of other options to exercise the right to decide in the one that agrees 80% of the Catalan citizenship according to the surveys. Now then, the way in that he seeks to survive that obstacle presents, many uncertainties.

Now then, with the on view in Europe, at the end, the figures yes they will be important. All the specialists consider that most absolute in benches it is indispensable to verify the proposed result, but on the other hand there is not agreement in if most should also be given in votes, a requirement that would be inexcusable in a plebiscite so those that we want an IF firm we don't have left more remedy than besides winning the elections for absolute majority they are the lists of the IF those that obtain the biggest number of votes.

HAY QUE PREPARARSE PARA CONSEGUIR GANAR DOS RESULTADOS ESCAÑOS Y VOTOS


Las elecciones del 27 de septiembre, convocadas el lunes pasado por el president de la Generalitat, Artur Mas, no son objetivamente un plebiscito sobre la independencia, otra cosa es que el resultado de las mismas pueda tomarse como una aproximación a tal figura político-jurídica. Un plebiscito es una votación de carácter dual es decir solo admite dos respuestas SI o NO por lo cual se entiende que la cuestión propuesta a plebiscito es única y estas características no se dan en esta convocatoria que se vota a listas y partidos políticos.
La cuestión es que, a medida que pasan los días y el debate sobre esta cuestión va ganando relevancia en la precampaña, la utilización de la palabra "plebiscito" va siendo sustituida entre sus partidarios por una versión más sutil para definir el sentido de las elecciones. Tendrán, afirman, "carácter plebiscitario" y esto si es posible porque los resultados de las votaciones pueden dar una relevancia a un mismo proyecto inscrito en varias listas a votar luego sacándolo del conjunto de propuestas generales este común proyecto suma de hecho la totalidad de los votos que ha tenido desde las distintas listas votadas.
La lectura plebiscitaría del 27S dependerá sobre todo, de lo que ocurra el día 28, al día siguiente. Y de las decisiones políticas que se tomen entonces. En definitiva, el resultado de los comicios quizás no sea tan relevante como pueda ser la lectura del veredicto de las urnas en los días posteriores. El problema entonces se plantará, en cómo se leerán estos resultados por los políticos esta es la incógnita, los políticos sabrán sacar de sus propuestas el tema propuesto en común o se quedaran en los resultados del escrutinio político y si yo gano ya me está bien y no me voy a sacrificar por otros.
Este es el riesgo a que nos exponemos al no poder plantear la verdadera cuestión de forma directa, pero también es verdad que este mismo riesgo lo corren los partidos y los unionistas españoles al no haber querido facilitar la posibilidad del plebiscito o del referéndum que en este caso venía a ser lo mismo. Al final la opción tomada por Artur Mas tiene una cierta ventaja sobre lo que el gobierno de España nos negó y es que tiene muchas más formas de lectura como por ejemplo con qué unidades de medida, dónde está el límite entre el éxito o el fracaso del sí o el no.
Cómo y hasta dónde legitiman las urnas el proceso político anunciado tras una eventual victoria de las listas del sí. En este punto, a decir verdad, todo resulta bastante confuso. Será muy difícil que las dos tendencias acepten los resultados si este da la victoria al contrario si ganan las listas proclives al SI, las listas del No buscaran toda clase de argumentos para descalificar los argumentos que propondrán los vencedores, que si el número, que si el porcentaje, que si son votos o si son escaños, y esto sucederá igualmente en el caso que fuesen las listas del NO o mejor dicho del “no SI”
El carácter plebiscitario que se quiere imprimir a las elecciones es el resultado de la inviabilidad política de la utilización de otras opciones para ejercer el derecho a decidir en el que según las encuestas está de acuerdo el 80% de la ciudadanía catalana. Ahora bien, el modo en que se pretende salvar ese obstáculo presenta, muchas incertidumbres.
Ahora bien, con la vista puesta en Europa, al final, las cifras sí serán importantes. Todos los especialistas consideran que la mayoría absoluta en escaños es imprescindible para verificar el resultado propuesto, pero en cambio no hay acuerdo en si la mayoría debe darse también en votos, un requisito que sería inexcusable en un plebiscito así que los que queremos un SI rotundo no nos queda más remedio que además de ganar las elecciones por mayoría absoluta sean las listas del SI las que obtengan el mayor número de votos.

martes, 28 de julio de 2015

CATALUNYA CONTINUES MAINTAINING IT’S MORE AND MORE REAL DREAM



The information’s of the bad thing that Catalonia goes that abandon her the companies, the trade that the Catalan government is devoted to make propaganda for the world instead of to govern and to offer that there is less unemployment and that the Catalan society returns to the prosperity that (they say the same ones that now attack us) he had always had above the rest of the Spanish communities. This tells it to us and they repeat now already constantly, but it is not necessary to take them seriously, the reality takes charge and another time of putting to each one in its place. 

That Catalonia shows the privilege of being the highest GDP in Spain it is already known I don't believe that it is necessary to repeat it that is also a the CCAA with less unemployment it is also this way, these statistics that are offered by the own organism of the state INE, are not very given to publish them in the national press but there is more data than indirectly they confirm that in spite of everything Catalonia against all presage and intervention, goes throwing. 

Catalonia is the autonomous community that had a bigger consumption in the year 2013, with a weight of 19,3% of the total of the communities of common régime, according to the data that it publishes today the National Institute of Statistic (INE). The INE has given to know the consumption indicators corresponding to 2013, an element that is used for the territorial distribution of the Tax about the Added Value (IVA). 

The index for the allotment of the IVA is calculated in function of several indicators, the main of them the expense in final consumption of the homes that has a weight of 65% of the total. In accordance with those data, the final consumption in Catalonia was of almost 20% of the total of the autonomies that don't have a special fiscal régime, so they are the Basque country outside, Navarrese, Canaries, Ceuta and Melilla. After Catalonia, the regions with more consumption were Andalusia, with 17,8% of the total; Madrid, with 17,4%, and the Valencian Community, with 11,7%. 

For if to somebody it interests him I add the rest of data published by the INE: the consumption in Galicia supposed 6,3% of the total, in Castile and León 6,0%, in Castile-the Stain 4,5%, in Balearic 3,5%, in Aragon 3,25%, in Murcia 3,0%, in Asturias 2,6%, in Extremadura 2,16%, in Cantabria 1,5% and in The Rioja the 0,7. 

There is no way we don't have remedy we have the appropriate economic conditions to become a sovereign country no matter how much they deny it to us, but Oriol Junqueras is right, it is necessary to go the quickest thing possible because there are founded suspicions that the government from Spain is maneuvering with the taxes in a very sibylline way, because with the strangulation politics to the treasury of Catalonia, he forces to this, to a diverse bigger rate imposition to the Catalan taxpayer, rates that don't exist or they have even been taken for example out of other communities like Madrid, in an intent more to attract to the companies of importance so that they leave the Catalan territory. 

Fortunately the Govern is not sleeping awaiting events. The Consell Executiu has taken a new step to make of the Institute Catalan of Finances (ICF) a bank. The day after presenting a model of tributary administration in the event of independence, in this tomorrow's meeting the Catalan Executive has approved to modify the law of this entity to adapt it to the normative one financial European. 

With this change the independence of the ICF is reinforced regarding the Administration of the Generalitat. The idea is to request the bank record directly to the European authorities that have for some months that competition. The conversion of this organism in a bank was part of government's agreements between the old CiU and ERC. 

The Govern had been marked the 2015 like date so that the ICF had bank record and it could become this way a Catalan public bank, one of the "structures of State" of the Catalan Executive's strategy. The consultant of the ICF, Josep Ramón Sanromà, commented recently that the entity had "all practically clever" one to study the application to be a bank. In any event it was awaiting that the whole European legislation was defined. 

CATALUNYA SIGUE MANTENIENDO SU SUEÑO CADA VEZ MAS REAL



Las informaciones de lo mal que va Catalunya, que la abandonan las empresas, los comercios, que el gobierno catalán se dedica a hacer propaganda por el mundo en lugar de gobernar y procurar que haya menos paro y que la sociedad catalana vuelva a la prosperidad, que (dicen los mismos que ahora nos atacan) siempre había tenido por encima del resto de las comunidades españolas. Esto nos lo dicen y repiten ahora ya constantemente, pero no hay que tomarlos en serio, la realidad se encarga una y otra vez de poner a cada uno en su sitio.

Que Catalunya ostenta el privilegio de ser el PIB más alto de España ya es sabido no creo que haga falta repetirlo, que además es una las CCAA con menos desempleo también es así, estas estadísticas que son ofrecidas por el propio organismo del estado INE, no son muy dadas a publicarlas en la prensa nacional pero hay más datos que indirectamente confirman que a pesar de todo Catalunya contra todo pronóstico e intervención, va tirando.

Catalunya es la comunidad autónoma que tuvo un mayor consumo en el año 2013, con un peso del 19,3 % del total de las comunidades de régimen común, según los datos que publica hoy el Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE). El INE ha dado a conocer los indicadores de consumo correspondientes a 2013, un elemento que se utiliza para la distribución territorial del Impuesto sobre el Valor Añadido (IVA).

El índice para el reparto del IVA se calcula en función de varios indicadores, el principal de ellos el gasto en consumo final de los hogares, que tiene un peso del 65 % del total. De acuerdo con esos datos, el consumo final en Catalunya fue de casi el 20 % del total de las autonomías que no tienen un régimen fiscal especial, de modo que quedan fuera el País Vasco, Navarra, Canarias, Ceuta y Melilla. Tras Catalunya, las regiones con mayor consumo fue Andalucía, con 17,8 % del total; Madrid, con un 17,4 %, y la Comunidad Valenciana, con un 11,7 %.

Por si a alguien le interesa añado el resto de datos publicados por el INE: el consumo en Galicia supuso el 6,3 % del total, en Castilla y León el 6,0 %, en Castilla-La Mancha el 4,5 %, en Baleares el 3,5 %, en Aragón el 3,25 %, en Murcia el 3,0 %, en Asturias el 2,6 %, en Extremadura el 2,16 %, en Cantabria el 1,5 % y en La Rioja el 0,7.

No hay manera no tenemos remedio tenemos las condiciones económicas adecuadas para convertirnos en un país soberano por mucho que nos lo nieguen, pero Oriol Junqueras tiene razón, hay que ir lo más rápido posible porque hay sospechas fundadas de que el gobierno de España está maniobrando con la fiscalidad de forma muy sibilina, porque con la política de estrangulación a la tesorería de Catalunya, obliga a esta, a una mayor imposición de tasa diversas al contribuyente catalán, tasas que no existen o incluso se han sacado de otras comunidades como Madrid por ejemplo, en un intento más para atraer a las empresas de importancia para que dejen el territorio catalán.

Afortunadamente el Govern no está dormido a la espera de  acontecimientos. El Consell Executiu ha dado un nuevo paso para hacer del Institut Català de Finances (ICF) un banco. El día después de presentar un modelo de administración tributaria en caso de independencia, en la reunión de esta mañana el Ejecutivo catalán ha aprobado modificar la ley de esta entidad para adaptarla a la normativa financiera europea.

Con este cambio "se refuerza la independencia" del ICF respecto a la Administración de la Generalitat. La idea es solicitar la ficha bancaria directamente a las autoridades europeas, que tienen desde hace unos meses esa competencia. La conversión de este organismo en un banco formaba parte de los acuerdos de gobierno entre la antigua CiU y ERC.

El Govern se había marcado el 2015 como fecha para que el ICF tuviera ficha bancaria y pudiera convertirse así en un banco público catalán, una de las "estructuras de Estado" de la estrategia del Ejecutivo catalán. El consejero delegado del ICF, Josep Ramon Sanromà, comentó recientemente que la entidad tenía "todo prácticamente listo" para cursar la solicitud para ser un banco. En todo caso estaba a la espera de que toda la legislación europea estuviera definida.

jueves, 16 de julio de 2015

RAJOY WARNS: IT WON'T HAVE INDEPENDENCE DE CATALONIA



Rajoy warns to Artur Mas that the State is "prepared" to complete the law. The Government's president, Mariano Rajoy, he has noticed this Thursday to the president of the Generalitat, Artur Mas, that the State is "absolutely prepared to make complete the law", alone it would lack that that the state is not prepared to complete, there are times that one thinks that the politicians tell the things thinking that they speak for some little less than stupid and ignorant citizens. 

Mr. Rajoy before you say it, all the independents Catalan’s already knows that you are prepared to complete the law…. The bad thing is that alone it is their law and against Catalonia and it doesn't stop everything and for all, for example, it is not he to assume as responsible maximum, the collection of commissions and use money B on the part of their party the PP. Therefore apart from considering their threats like a more threatens, I will tell him a thing. You look at Mr. Rajoy, it won't be you the one that applied any law against the independence of Catalonia, for the simple reason that when this thinks about, you and yours party no longer sent anything in Spain. 

Truth hurts but it is this way. You look, Catalonia will make its autonomous elections the next one September 27 and you already arrived to these elections with the clean and reordered Catalan politics. To the autonomous elections two big political positionings were presented, one as you knows, it will be the compound for the political forces and the civil organizations that defend the ideology of the Catalan nationalism, the curious of the case, it is that in this group, they are united all the political tendencies, left, center and right, curious truth, because you already see it the we have achieved because it leaves of the civil society and Catalan politics, he thinks that first it is Catalonia and later the politics to apply. 

But there is already another formed group as today it has been announced and it is curious, they have also united in the political parties and civil organizations, but there is a fundamental difference this group their objective it is not Catalonia, but the politics and Spain, this group will try to win the elections to counteract to the first one, and to impose its politics that that to you so much fear gives him: populism, demagoguery, extreme left, and the most serious thing a "neo communism" that it is the one that really directs the group, in few words so that he understands it, a party type Syriza that so good result is giving in Greece. 

You have said today what has said after CDC and ERC left grateful politicians and members of the Catalan coalition, have made a pact establish the independence in a maximum term of eight months, if they win the elections clearing this and when this happens, inside ten or twelve months, you and the PP they will have abandoned the government from Spain, because it stops then, Spain will be governed by a coalition of left parties and directed for PODEMOS that they will have been formed to win him the Spanish general elections. And they will have won them. 

They won them because you and their party the PP won't accept to be lowered its privileges to win Spain, because they give for fact that Spain is his, (including Catalonia) and this is no longer this way today, Spain the same as Catalonia belongs to people it is of the town and full of the traditional politics are and of the career politicians as you and those of its party that have made of that its profession and "modus vivendi" and the society has said it is already enough. If he doesn't believe me it leaves to the balcony of the Moncloa and look who Madrid governs and look that political origin comes and who have lifted up it to the power.   

I don't know if it will have independence of Catalonia. neither if Catalonia will leave Europe that is what you are proposing to the citizens from Catalonia, according to you but if I tell him that you won't see it and he won't be able to him to impede as the government's from Spain president, because it won't be in these functions, with luck he will have a position in the senate or in the courts like deputy of on foot, if it is that the remains of its party want him after taking them to the feet of the horses or of the lions of the congress like want. 

In short alone he has four months to fix their future a little as political and I eat president of their party. Then he doesn't complain, the same as you what so kindly he has noticed us from what will spend, to the Catalan that we believe in Catalonia, I have noticed him that risks run you, now single lack to wait and to see who of both its guesses right. 

viernes, 3 de julio de 2015

CATALONIA IS A TREASURE FOR THE POLITIC’S AND ALONE AN ILLUSION FOR THE CATALAN



As the months pass the independence of Catalonia of Spain he weakens and the curious of the case is that he weakens for the politics’ side the leaders of the parties they don't want to think nothing else that in their position and in their party but don't made a mistake it is not for their own ambition it is not because these leaders and parties aspire to be some governing and others accompanying them in the congress and Spanish senate here Spain is played we don't made a mistake at the end so undoubtedly the independentism he falls and this demonstrates it the one that those that want to be alone independent every time they are less. 

The politicians and parties Catalan sovereignties will lose the elections of the 27S because they cannot fight against all the other political forces that represent in Catalonia the pure Spanish politics it is not that the independentism falls it is that the Spanish unionism joins because what they have always denied today is seen that it is a reality if Spain loses Catalonia we would have another Greece but of 40 million inhabitants instead of about 11 that are the Greeks.  

Today the press in general toils in announcing that in the last study of the Center d'Estudis d'Opinio (CEO) the independence of Catalonia continues losing bellows. 50% of the Catalan would vote today against the secession in front of 42,9% that would bet for the 'yes'. undoubtedly it is this way in opinion study after seeing that the Spanish politics has changed suddenly after the elections of the municipal elections, now no longer there are the same political parties that they had when beginning the process independent there are many more at least three more and all are unionists. 

That it is passing the Catalan we no longer want to be independent, at all what is happening is that the undecided ones that inhabit Catalonia and that they were not represented by anybody and they were in a position of indifference in this respect today if they have other parties that surprisingly they build up hopes them because they are changing Spain.  

Curious truth is not a Catalan problem, it is a Spanish situation but that he makes change the balances in Catalonia all those that didn't already believe in the PP or in the PSC and that he gave them the same as Catalonia was Spain or not, now they have a series of new politicians headed by the populist lefts that they promise them to change Spain and to those Catalan-Spaniards this situation gives them an on the way to exit the question it is if a new Spain will have because not to be gone up it. 

The great query now continues being for me if Artur Mas it will maintain or not its intention of summoning the elections for September 27. In the face of the change of political screen in Spain, he also unites the desertion on behalf of the parties noted sovereignties, for example the party of it United Democratic that was the partner of coalition of Democratic Convergence and that both formed CIU. 

Also in the face of the success of the social compositions politician, system that has used “PODEMOS” to win governorships and autonomous communities uniting parties and political of disparate origins and political inclination has given a new space to many undecided or even those that he gave them same to live in Catalonia or in Spain now see the opportunity to continue being Spain because they believe that certainly they will change it.   

The loss of the governorship of Barcelona in hands of this type of new political conglomerates has been a very hard blow for Convergence. The result obtained in the entirety of Catalonia is very digestible, even flattering, for Artur Mas, but without dominating Barcelona it is difficult to lead a process of independence of Catalonia. 

But the general situation is not clear for the possible independence of Catalonia, however this alone one will be able to vote once, if he gets lost the possibility the most probable thing it is that already never more he repeats this opportunity, so in September, Mas and Catalonia was: with a government in very concerned Madrid for their next elections, and therefore very aggressive, and here with a hypothetical capital of the new country with a local government that one doesn't know if he wants that he wants to make with her and less with Catalonia.  

CATALUNYA ES UN TESORO PARA LOS POLITICOS Y SOLO UNA ILUSION PARA LOS CATALANES



A medida que pasan los meses la independencia de Catalunya de España se debilita y lo curioso del caso es que se debilita por el lado de la política los líderes de los partidos no quieren pensar nada más que en su posición y en su partido pero no se confundan no es por su propia ambición no es porque estos líderes y partidos aspiren a estar unos gobernando y otros acompañándolos en el congreso y senado español aquí se juega España no nos confundamos así que claro que al final el independentismo cae y esto lo demuestra el que los que quieren ser solo independientes cada vez son menos.

Los políticos y partidos soberanistas catalanes van a perder las elecciones del 27S porque no pueden luchar contra todas las otras fuerzas políticas que representan en Catalunya la política española pura no es que el independentismo caiga es que el unionismo español se junta porque lo que siempre han negado hoy se ve que es una realidad si España perdiese Catalunya tendríamos otra Grecia pero de 40 millones de habitantes en vez de unos 11 que son los griegos.

Hoy la prensa en general se afana en anunciar que en el último estudio del Centro d’Estudis d’Opinio (CEO) la independencia de Catalunya sigue perdiendo fuelle. El 50% de los catalanes votarían hoy en contra de la secesión frente al 42,9% que apostarían por el 'sí'. Claro que es así en estudio de opinión después de ver que la política española ha cambiado de golpe después de las elecciones de las elecciones municipales, ahora ya no hay los mismos partidos políticos que habían al empezar el proceso independentista hay muchos más cuando menos tres más y todos son unionistas.

Que está pasando los catalanes ya no queremos ser independientes, en absoluto lo que está pasando es que los indecisos que habitan en Catalunya y que no sentían  representados por nadie y estaban en una posición de indiferencia al respecto hoy si tienen otros partidos que curiosamente les ilusionan porque están cambiando España.

Curioso verdad no es un problema catalán, es una situación española pero que hace cambiar los equilibrios en Catalunya todos aquellos que no creían ya en el PP o en el PSC y que les daba igual que Catalunya fuese España o no, ahora tienen una serie de nuevos políticos encabezados por las izquierdas populistas que les prometen cambiar España y a esos catalanes-españoles esta situación les da un camino de salida la cuestión es si va a haber una nueva España porque no subirse a ello.

El gran interrogante ahora sigue siendo para mí si Artur Mas mantendrá o no su intención de convocar las elecciones plebiscitarias para el 27 de septiembre. Ante el cambio de pantalla política en España, se une además la deserción de parte de los partidos nombrados soberanistas, por ejemplo el partido de Unio Democratica que era el socio de coalición de Convergencia Democratica y que  ambos formaban CIU.

También ante el éxito de las composiciones político sociales, sistema que ha empleado PODEMOS para ganar alcaldías y comunidades autónomas uniendo partidos y políticos de dispares procedencias e inclinación política ha dado una nueva cabida a muchos indecisos o incluso aquellos que les daba igual vivir en Catalunya o en España ahora ven la oportunidad de seguir siendo España porque creen que ciertamente la van a cambiar.  

La pérdida de la alcaldía de Barcelona en manos de este tipo de nuevos conglomerados políticos ha sido un golpe muy duro para Convergencia. El resultado obtenido en la totalidad de Catalunya es muy digerible, incluso halagüeño, para Artur Mas, pero sin dominar Barcelona resulta difícil liderar un proceso de independencia de Catalunya.

Pero la situación general no está clara para la posible independencia de Catalunya, sin embargo esta solo se podrá votar una vez, si se pierde la posibilidad lo más probable es que ya nunca más se repita esta oportunidad, así que en septiembre, Mas y Catalunya se encontraran: con un gobierno en Madrid muy preocupado por sus próximas elecciones, y por lo tanto muy agresivo, y aquí con una hipotética capital del nuevo país con un gobierno local que no se sabe si quiera que quiere hacer con ella y menos con Catalunya.